Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 15.593356 17.745825 20.215150 23.286737 27.046411 31.553681 37.451914
2025-05-25 12.639233 15.247034 18.502160 22.957714 29.053928 37.353843 49.989053
2025-06-01 11.031261 13.816799 17.492544 22.866246 30.835510 42.797407 63.429199
2025-06-08 9.718716 12.502428 16.326164 22.197024 31.462346 46.510085 75.401450
2025-06-15 8.892276 11.710006 15.720577 22.158667 32.928794 51.816925 92.320932
2025-06-22 7.962744 10.653883 14.578856 21.078952 32.417238 53.468783 102.684214
2025-06-29 7.168594 9.712083 13.494160 19.916660 31.510661 54.096433 111.059457
2025-07-06 6.584526 9.027974 12.729445 19.170368 31.199465 55.803334 123.030011
2025-07-13 6.712352 9.425325 13.691893 21.497961 37.160038 72.809465 190.366965
2025-07-20 6.516619 9.296420 13.779248 22.267860 40.184691 84.326569 253.754901
2025-07-27 6.103627 8.786135 13.174842 21.653175 40.095000 87.790197 289.950258
2025-08-03 5.952695 8.688452 13.265124 22.388200 43.210085 101.551184 396.252130
2025-08-10 5.630594 8.298505 12.832358 22.075019 43.923650 108.963448 488.303383
2025-08-17 5.339561 7.941806 12.430290 21.778888 44.646322 116.982958 609.871292
2025-08-24 5.105635 7.665015 12.147399 21.693431 45.901872 127.721986 798.203687
2025-08-31 4.824244 7.287828 11.646818 21.071139 45.571708 132.350416 951.677233
2025-09-07 4.639536 7.067575 11.423275 21.035454 46.894612 144.776097 1295.931032
2025-09-14 4.354943 6.655186 10.803416 20.030269 45.186088 142.961075 1407.054989
2025-09-21 4.081272 6.249781 10.173777 18.946637 43.073594 138.501169 1454.974179
2025-09-28 3.870367 5.947212 9.726838 18.249967 42.037521 138.977016 1640.979156
2025-10-05 3.984871 6.234748 10.454720 20.420519 50.575916 196.617173 5429.715142
2025-10-12 3.936083 6.220044 10.576438 21.137033 54.638928 235.434552 14179.949791
2025-10-19 3.768022 5.974825 10.208430 20.565026 53.972409 241.545930 21061.648377